NIE National Intelligence Estimate Gives Negative View of War

"... reports, called National Intelligence Estimates, represent the consensus view of the United States’ 16 intelligence agencies, as opposed to the military... (and) offer a more negative assessment... (saying) there is a limited chance of success unless Pakistan hunts down insurgents operating from havens on its Afghan border..."
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/15/world/asia/15policy.html?_r=1